Week 16: 2-0-1

Season: 2-0-1 (obviously my record is much different, but there’s no point including my games pre-blog, so I’m just starting with week 16 and continuing until the Super Bowl.)

Wins:

Minnesota Vikings +3 at Baltimore Ravens
New England Patriots -6.5 at New York Jets

The Ravens had a 13-point 4th quarter and ended up beating the spread - if you teased it like I recommended, it would’ve been even more convincing. As the start of the New England game approached, some lines increased from -6.5 to -9 and -9.5…either way, you’d have the win, but when a favorite looks that good, bet right away - as the week progresses, odds usually change in favor of the underdog.

Pushes:

Chicago Bears -7 at Green Bay Packers

This game looked great going into the 4th quarter with Chicago leading 24-7. I was hoping Aaron Rodgers would get some time and then the game would be iced. However, Antonio Chatman’s punt return completely shifted momentum, and that’s just a bad betting beat. You can’t win ‘em all…so when you push the rest, life isn’t bad.

nfl results, nfl week 16

Only a few games to pick from this week - let’s take a look.

5:00 pm
Chicago Bears -7
Green Bay Packers

Although the Bears offense usually doesn’t put up too many points, this is a great matchup for Chicago. Favre throws more interceptions than anyone, so the Bears D will have plenty of opportunities to either score or set up scoring opportunities for the offense. Speaking of the offense, I like their scoring potential much more with Rex Grossman at QB, so covering by a TD should not be a problem against the lowly Packers. If Aaron Rodgers steps in, even better.

8:35 pm
Minnesota Vikings +3
Baltimore Ravens

Minnesota needs to win if they want any chance at making the playoffs, but sadly, it won’t happen this week. Baltimore is surprisingly good at home (5-2), and their defense has been playing great the last couple of weeks. Teasing Baltimore would make this bet a bit safer as both teams have been wildly inconsistent all year, but the Ravens will come out on top at home - hopefully it’s by more than a field goal.

Monday, December 26, 2005

9:05 pm
New England Patriots -6.5
New York Jets

This spread looks wonderful any other time of the year. However, the only factor that should worry gamblers is the playoffs - Indianapolis and Denver have clinched first-round byes, so one question remains: will New England try to win out to have the better playoff seed, or just rest their starters and enter the playoffs with a healthy squad?

Quite frankly, it probably doesn’t matter. The Patriots starters can beat the Jets by 20. Their backups? They can beat them by 10. This is a good bet no matter who plays - the Jets are terrible and should not be able to do much against the Patriots defense. New England’s D has allowed 10 points total in the last three weeks, so the Jets shouldn’t expect to post much more than a touchdown. Take New England to the bank here, folks.

Good luck!

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Sunday, December 25, 2005

5:00 pm
Chicago Bears -7
Green Bay Packers

8:35 pm
Minnesota Vikings +3
Baltimore Ravens

Monday, December 26, 2005

9:05 pm
New England Patriots -6.5
New York Jets

Check back for the picks tomorrow, and I’d like to wish everyone happy holidays!

baltimore ravens, chicago bears, green bay packers, minnesota vikings, new england patriots, new york jets, nfl spreads, nfl week 16, sports betting

Welcome to Mr. Football’s NFL Picks! I’m your host, Mr. Football.

During the season, I’ll give you my picks to every game (against the spread), so you can be confident with your bets. This site should be your main stop every Sunday morning, and with my help, picking NFL games will be cake.During the off-season, I’ll cover the draft and give my thoughts on the latest NFL news, so we’ll be live year-round for your viewing pleasure.

-Mr. Football

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